Inevitability and Collapse

By Leon H Wolf Posted in Comments (120) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

Peggy Noonan is worried. The current Presidency is in trouble, the institution of the Presidency is in trouble, the bureacracy cannot maintain itself, the center does not hold. In other words, Peggy Noonan is worried about the survival of Western Civilization itself.

And she is right to be so worried.

It is easy, from the comfort and warmth of our living rooms, surrounded by the safe light of civlization and freedom, to call Ms. Noonan the chicken little of our time. But while most of us have only ever known civilization and safety, only a fool who is ignorant of history would fail to realize that civilization and safety are fragile things, and that centuries of progress can be swept away in the blink of an eye. Indeed, the norm throughout history has not been democracy, freedom and light - but rather oppression, tyranny and darkness. Not only has this been the norm throughout history, but it is even the norm, planet-wide, to this very day. We have chiseled out a small section of light in a world of darkness, let us not pretend that this light must, of necessity, last forever.

Indeed, in the last few short years, Western Civilization has been on the collapse in Western Europe at an alarming rate. For decades, decay has been on the march, held at bay by the last vestiges of anti-fascism and the anti-Soviet bloc strategic interests of the United States. These forces served to mask the fact that by and large, Christianity had died on the European continent, and nothing held Westernism together as a cohesive force apart from fear of domination by the fascists/communists.

When that fear was vanquished in the early 90s, Europe was forced to gradually face the fact that while their churches stood empty, their mosques had come alive with a brightness and intensity that Christianity had not known there for centuries. Having long since decided that religion was neither friend to coddle nor foe to reckon with, Western Europe contented itself that this, too, would pass, and that even Radical Islam would bow before the combined forces of the Enlightenment and Postmodernism.

This, as Johnny Depp, the Spanish commuter train riders, and British victims of 7/7 can now attest, was a serious miscalculation on their part.

The attacks in question were certainly alarming enough, but the incredibly obtuse response, at least on the part of the Spanish and the French, has convinced many (including myself), that Western Europe is largely lost. They have crumbled under the weight of their own ineptitude - they have institutionalized the socialist welfare state and found to their dismay that it led to crushing unemployment and widespread abuse of the system (who could have predicted such an outcome?). They have ousted peaceful religion from their public consciousness and have tacitly allowed fascist religion to fill the void left behind. They have stirred their socialism, secularism, and Islamofascism into a brew, and in the process set France on fire.

If Western Civilization is to survive, it will be up to America - and to a lesser extent, the tottering Britons. We will determine whether the Caliphate will cover Western Europe - and if Western Europe falls, we shall not be far behind.

Every day that goes by, I become more concerned that we are simply not up to the task. The media is probably not to be blamed for this phenomenon, but we have, for perhaps the first time, been exposed to a daily real-time documentary of the hell-on-earth that is war - and if the recent poll numbers are accurate, as a nation we have shown that we do not have the stomach for it. As time goes forward, the media exposure will likely grow worse, not better.

The last time Western Civilization dealt with a threat of this kind - during the Cold War- there were two competing foreign policy visions on this country. There were, first of all, the isolationists. These were those who advocated a turtle-like approach to the rest of the world - if we just stayed over here, protected by oceans on either side, and didn’t make any provoking moves, we would surely be safe from harm. The isolationists believed there was no point in intervening in far-off areas of the world, and that everything we tried was just a bunch of pointless meddling where we didn’t belong. We should leave Vietnam because the Vietnamese were no threat to us, and they didn’t even want us there. The Marshall Plan shouldn’t be used to strategically weaken the Eastern Bloc - we ought to instead indiscriminately distribute welfare to Soviet Bloc countries as well. Pretty much everything Reagan ever did was “needlessly provocative,” but most especially all that defense expenditure. Oh yeah, and nobody lost China.

The other foreign policy vision understood the value of weakening your enemy by having outposts right in his face. This vision recognized the reality of geopolitical consequences - that maybe if Vietnam fell, the rest of Southeast Asia might be in for a rough time, too. They understood that a strong and prosperous Western Europe could lead to an envious and agitating Eastern Bloc - that West Berlin was an important beacon of hope in a dark area of the world, and that there are some enemies who simply can’t be trusted to engage in honest diplomacy, to whom you must simply say, “Nyet.”

It was my foolish and naive hope that after the Cold War was over - when Reagan was compared with Carter/McGovern, no one would be foolish enough to pretend that the ostrich was the most cunning of all animals, and geopolitical consequences either weren’t real or shouldn’t be considered. I have, sadly, been disabused of this notion in a rather harsh way over the last six months.

In the face of this evidence that their worldview simply will not be informed, I have resolved myself to ensure that they must never be allowed control of the national security apparatus of this country ever again. No matter how much they insist that they are willing to fight, just not this fight, I will remember that the inevitable conclusion for the isolationist is that there is never an appropriate enemy for right now - and if there is such an enemy, it will never be the one the United States is currently engaged with. Constant deflection and maneuvering are merely the tools of those who wish to hide the fact that the shell is warm and cozy, and they don’t want to leave.

I have also come to realize that they are not unpatriotic, in the way most people understand the word. They don’t hate the United States. Many of them may actually like the United States quite a bit. They feel about the United States the way I used to feel about Arkansas - it’s a nice enough place to live, and there’s work to be had here, but surely there are better places out there. What they don’t do - or at least what they don’t show - is that they love America as the special and unique country that she is. They have measured her by the yardstick of their ideology and found that she is nothing special - especially compared to, say, Canada or Sweden.

What they fail to realize is that everything they hate about America - from her cowboy foreign policy to her tenacious grasp of the Christian religion - are the things that make America the one country that can save Westernism from the encroaches of Islamofascism. I don’t care much more open Canada is to gay rights, and I don’t care how much better Sweden’s health care system is than ours, Osama Bin Laden is not holed up in a cave somewhere because he’s afraid of Canada. And, God bless the Irish for their protection of the unborn, but Ireland is simply not going to stand in the gap and protect civilization and freedom as we know them, and 400+ years of progress, from a rampaging Islamofascist horde.

If anyone will do so, it will be us. And that’s because of our cowboy attitude. And it’s because we value a Christian culture that we have not wholly abandoned. And it’s partly because of that Christian culture that we identify strongly enough with this country to love her as the greatest country on earth, and the defender of civilization and order across the globe.

Perhaps I’m overreacting somewhat to the current state of American politics. After all, about exactly a year ago, Americans elected a President who personified, to some degree or another, all of those qualities. However, they did so by a very small margin. And I’ve been thorougly dismayed throughout the ensuing year with the ridiculous amount of hand-holding that our society apparently requires. I’ve been even more dismayed by the antipathy that has been displayed toward this country and its success abroad by those who have the most to lose, politically speaking, from the potential fall of Westernism. Unless, that is, Teddy Kennedy thinks his social ideas would go over well on the “Arab Street” today.

I sincerely hope that I am overreacting. I hope that we are made of sterner stuff than I suppose. But I am not optimistic that this is so. Civilization is fragile, and “progress” so much more so. Secular hubris is on the advance in this country as it was in Europe some generations ago - and such hubris has a way of being punished.

Is there a way to stem the tide?

Cross posted: No End but Victory.

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If you think the Roman Empire was big, just wait 20 years and look at the USA's.

Dr. Jose Pinera said that when the United States reforms Social Security with tax free PSAs, the rest of the world will follow.

We need Cubans working like beavers investing 10% of their income into the American stock market with their PSAs.  Of course they could invest in Euro-Stocks but then we would have a Cuban with an IQ problem.

Hopefully, these Cubans will see the "light."

Barring a miracle by streiff

Western Europe is finished.

Demographically they are below the threshold to replace their native populations. On the other hand, the muslim/Arab immigrants are in high production.

You can't win if you won't fight. They don't have anything they are willing to fight for. In essence they have given up and are just waiting to find out who their new master will be.

You can't beat something with nothing. Nihilism might be fun while you're watching bad French movies and swilling absinthe but as a philosophy of life it pretty much sucks. John Paul II was right in calling for a  re-evangelization of Europe otherwise islam is going to win the philosophical battle as well as the demographic battle.

So was Yeats by Joe Rega

  Worried about the survival of Christianity, I mean; that's what The Second Coming is about, he rightly perceiving that the logical conclusion of secular modernity would mean to 'drown the ceremony of innocence'. Yeats saw the procession of Western civilization as beginning with Greco-Roman, continuing with (Judeo)-Christian and ending...where?

  The Europeans imagine what Dewey, following Josiah Royce, called the Great Community - the State as the central structure for an increasingly institutionalized life. Of course, that meant the destruction of communities anchored by tradition, religion and family, a process created by modernity, and the true enemy of the conservative movement.

  The end-game of modernity is total secularism, a culture based on reason without faith, a culture 'where the best lack all conviction, while the worst are full of passionate intensity'. The infusion of devout, honest and hard-working Moslems, people for whom tradition, religion and family still matter (I repeat: not the Islamo-fascists) might actually save Europe from itself, if, and only if, enough Europeans retain what Yeats called the Anima Mundi, the memory of their own past.      

   

Here we go again with the Gloom and Doom chorus. To which I would like to say a certain word, but one that isn't permitted here.

Europe and the US may have some problems (has any era of history not had some?) but if you think we're doomed look at the rest of the world! And specifically look at the Islamic world. That culture has raised dysfunctionalism to a high, high art form. Why do you think they are losing people to emigration? As a rule in fact any nation that is gaining immigrants (except temprorarily, as the result of a disaster in some neighboring country) is doing OK while those which are exporting people are in trouble. As for Christianity, all that's happened in Europe and even here is that the Christian faith has been been reduced to its true core of faithful (Yes, Virginia, there are still Christians in Europe!) now that there are no longer any external forces, whether legal or social, mandating the outward appearance of belief. And finally, yes, the Bush administration is in some trouble. They've made a lot mistakes, and they should be in trouble. But presidents come and presidents  go, and the US will do quite well for itself all in all. Great nations are not great because of this or that leader; rather great nations produce great leaders and so shall the US for generations to come after the current uproar is forgotten as the teapot tempest that it is.

Bodies politic... by blackhedd

...are bodies after all, and they are subject to exhaustion and decay. Streiff is right, Western Europe is done. There's no dynamism left there. The Islamic world is highly fertile but beset by voices obsessed with death. This is like cancer. Either you cut it out or it kills you. One or the other will happen but it's too soon to tell which.

Real dynamism is about individual initiative and the desire to realize one's vision for a better life (and even, in rare cases, for a better world). The real dynamism in the world has moved south and east. China, India, and Brazil are bursting with it. These places are full of youth, drive, and energy. America still has a lot of real dynamism too. Not as much as we once did, and it's concentrated among our immigrant populations, but we have it.

What China, Brazil, India, and immigrants to America are not necessarily full of is love of freedom. And this is the stand on which America will fight its last great battle, if that day should ever come.

Before Yeats by johnt

there was Petrach  who in the early 14th century in a letter to a bishop friend of his despaired of, well,European civilization,the loose morals,the license,decline of religiosity,the increasing interest in making money.  A look backwards sometimes gives the strength to look forward.  Europe has been facing, or better put, living with decline for at least a century.  As with any decline the rock gathers momentum as it rolls downhill.  Von kunhelt-Leddin has the effrontery to attribute this in part to the decline and demise of the royal houses of Europe, imperfect as they were.For this reason populists all over the world refuse to read him, or perhaps it's because they've never heard of him and can't take their cell phones off their ears. World War 1 destroyed the old and great Europe and both physically and morally prostrate left her to succumb to various cancers the reader may know and expand upon.  Decline is not new, either is renewal.  Decline is not death, it doesn'thave to be, it is not determined.  To sink into politics for a moment, this is what makes Bush great,this will be his legacy, not a stained blue dress and a hurricane of hot air.  First we must think of ourselves, a bone chilling thought to altruists everywhere.  Immigration must not only be controlled, it must be modified.  The absurd quotas on European immigration must be loosened, and in such a way that people who share our culture and broad historical ethnicity must not be discouraged from coming to our country.  Second, we must not only observe but capitalize on the growing global awareness of the real nature of the radical muslim threat by encouraging a more militant approach and reaction to the murderers. Third, education in this country must be revitalized.  No,not by spending more money,but by  fostering alternatives to not only what a school is but what is taught in that school.  By, in other words, developing and returning to a gretaer knowledge of the strengths of American history and Western civilization.  You can't resist or fight if you don't know why you're resisting or what you're fighting for.  A culture is as strong as the people's knowledge of that culture.  If all else fails we should remember that before anything we are individuals and make our own lives.  In a essay on Isaiah and the remnant Albert J Nock pointed out that their will always be a remnant,you will find them and they will find you. "  The fascination and the despair of the historian, as he looks back upon Isaiah's Jewry, upon Plato's Athens,or upon the Rome of the Antonines, is the hope of discovering  and laying bare the substratum of right thinking and well doing which he knows must have existed in those societies".  They are always there as Nock knew, they always will be.

communities by Paul J Cella

That meant the destruction of communities anchored by tradition, religion and family, a process created by modernity, and the true enemy of the conservative movement.

Well said, Mr. Rega. But your insight only illuminates a deep tension, which is suggested by Leon's very phrasing in his fine essay:

But while most of us have only ever known civilization and safety, only a fool who is ignorant of history would fail to realize that civilization and safety are fragile things, and that centuries of progress can be swept away in the blink of an eye. Indeed, the norm throughout history has not been democracy, freedom and light - but rather oppression, tyranny and darkness.

One cannot help notice that the very things which corrode and enervate traditional communities -- in a word, enlightened modernity -- are the things Leon identifies with civilization. And since the strength and vigor which Leon laments as fading from us ultimately arises only in those communities, Leon is in the very difficult position of arguing that we must preserve the "civilization" that is destroying our will to preserve anything.

I hasten to add that Leon is not alone in this predicament: It is, rather, the core tragedy of Conservatism. It is so easy for us, in the face of the lunacy of our opponents, to become the apologists for yesterday's opponents who have now triumphed. In other words, the pressure of the innovators and energumens drives Conservatives farther and farther to the left, and they become merely the most strident of yesterday's Leftists, and the consolidators of yesterday's Leftism.

_____

NOTE: I do not, of course, believe that democracy, freedom and light are bad things. Far from it. But these catchphrases have ever been the slogans of the innovators; slogans hurled against every inherited structure or principle that failed to measure up at the bar of Reason. In short, they seem indistinguishable from that "Rationalism in politics" which Michael Oakeshott so ably analyzed: the impulse to engage in a vast purge of anything and everything that does not evidence an immediate defense in terms of pure reason, before we begin the world anew.

5 by Paul J Cella

excellent

Thanks for the referral to Peggy Noonan's post - I agree with you that her profound sense of unease that that "wheels are coming off the cart" and that elites in the US are carving up their own private retreat is greatly troubling.

I have had a similar feeling for many years now, and haven't quite learned to live with it, which I why I appreciate the opportunity to express a few thoughts here.

You have a point, but I would recommend that you step back even further and expand your scope wider than "Western Civilization".  History is all about the rise and fall of civilizations, but while various nations have certainly been eclipsed, vanquished or simply collapsed, civilization as a whole has not.  However, there are lots of lessons to be learned as to why this has occurred, but I think Jared Diamond's Pulitzer Prize winning Guns, Germs and Steel does a good job of explaining the long-term factors of how technological and cultural advantages and epidemics have affected the rise and fall of civilizations, and Paul Kennedy's Rise and Fall of the Great Powers is helpful in understanding how these factors have played out in modern history (although Kennedy misunderstands the US, his main point that Great Powers rise until they are overextended because of their military commitments and expenditures, when the diversion of resources to the military saps the strength of the economy and forces a decline.  This reading is helpful to understand America's special place in history and the factors that may undermine it.

If history is any guide, we can expect that the power of the US will be limited as China and India grow.  This is something we should be concerned about, but they may also be natural allies in dealing with threats of Islamic fundamentalism.

Your post does a good job of drawing attention to rising feelings of polarization that have been stirred up by Islamic fundamentalism, particularly after 9/11.  However, I think that this is a broader issue that Nolan also touches on, which is that the world is simply getting too complicated for most of us to understand.  A lot of us would simply like to be left alone, but globalization keeps changing our own society so we are always playing catch up, and world events keep on impinging.  A complicated world leaves each of us feeling less and less in control and increasingly uncertain.  The urge for a simpler world is understandable and justified, and underpins a lot of discontent, not only in the US but abroad.  

When discontent breaks out, our complex society and technology means someone who is discontented can easily disrupt a lot of people - like 9/11, but also like the Unabomber, McVeigh, or Lee Malvo, or whoever was messing with anthrax.  9/11 not only meant war, but meant we all were forced to think about places we knew nothing about, and to change how we go about getting on airplanes.

We are naturally disposed to respond with hostility, and not understanding, when we are attacked or threatened.  Man evolved to live in small tribal units, where we all felt like a valued member, and one of the greatest threats was actually from other tribes.  That has survived unchanged into modern times and is manifested in many ways - in how we identify with athletes and sports teams, in why we each seek out a group to which to belong, in the way ethnic groups may incompletely integrate (visible in how people self-segregate in universities etc.), and in how some national identities may weaken as old identities strengthen - split of USSR & Czechoslovakia, resurgence of Welsh and Scottish identities, etc.  An even more obvious way in which that old tribal identity issue survives is in the event of conflict - which can trigger rapid collapse along ethnic lines like in Yugoslavia and Rwanda, reinforced by religious identity.  

It seems to me that this kind of group politics and centripetal force is at work in the US external reaction to 9/11 and in our domestic politics after the invasion of Iraq.  Of course it is also manifest in the fratricide in Iraq, where tribal identity is much more powerful than national identity

Accordingly, while I don't disagree that there is a growing divide between the Christian West and Islamic states, human society is very susceptible to divides like this and we need to be very careful about inflaming them.  In a globalized world where we really can escape each other, it is even more imperative that we learn to tolerate each other - different cultures need to be able to preserve their own space (so they do not constantly feel under attack) while also integrating, so that conflicts can be tamed.  It is precisely this later strategy that the US has pursued very successfully relating to China.

Moving back to the big picture again, my greatest unease relates to my concern about how technology has made man the conqueror of the environment, allowing us to push back Malthusian restraints, but at a heavy cost to nature.  Man consumes a huge portion of the biomass produced by the planet each year, and we continue to approach this limit without any regulation of our population and growth.  As a result, I am afraid that we are undermining our own future, diminishing the natural wealth of the planet, and setting the stage for Malthusian conflicts, such as Rwanda.

For as long as the US is the world's sole superpower, we need to work hard to establish an international framework to resolve current problems.  Our doing it alone is extremely costly and ultimately impossible.  We need to get other countries involved in Iraq and in dealing with other aspects of our global agenda.

I worry that our children will inherit from us a country and a world that is worse off than we had.  I'm certain this is a sentiment that people on both sides of the political spectrum can agree.

But, you lose me when you refer to "a rampaging Islamofascist horde."

I read this, and into my mind come memories of old WWII-era films about the Nazi advance in Europe, with cartoon maps showing a black ink spreading across France and Eastern Europe, and a stern voice warning us of the dangers of Hitler and the spread of Nazi Germany.

But are we really living in the same era today?  Must me live in fear like we did then?  Or as during the Cold War, fearing the spread of Communism?

Certainly, the type of people you call "Islamofascists" are our enemies.  They attacked us, we retaliated, and now we are working hard to make sure they do not do so again, remaining ever vigilant.  But, are they really a murderous, ravenous horde gathering en masse on our borders, waiting to strike and overwhelm?

Perhaps what is needed is a perspective of the problem that is based in reality.  As has been said many times before, this is a different sort of war.  This is a different age, and there is a threat of terrorism that nobody can ignore.  But, at the same time, our own homegrown terrorists have struck much more often here on U.S. soil than our foreign enemies (the most recent being the Tacoma shopping mall incident yesterday).

Indeed, statistically, you and I are much more likely to be killed in a car accident, or in gun violence, or falling off a ladder, or choking on a chicken wing, then by the hands of a foreign terrorist.  Al Qaeda and terrorist organizations do not have an army.  They do not even have a country (the closest they had was Afghanistan).  They do not have any means of large-scale production (factories, infrastucture, etc.) and they do not have a population that they can draft into a military.  They do not have readily available mineral and natural resources nor do they have taxes which they can impose on their "people" in order to support a war effort.

Indeed, the collapse of ours or any other Western society, in my opinion, is much more likely to occur at our own hands, than at the hands of foreign terrorists.  When we sacrifice our own freedoms, our own liberties, and our own ideals; when we ignore the societal ills that plague our people, and let them fester; all because we are fearful of an unknown, amorphous, outside enemy, then the collapse of our own nation becomes even more likely.

Please, do not accuse of me of "wanting to do nothing."  That is not my point.  I only want to add to the discussion the notion that we Americans must also be sure not to lose our own liberties during any efforts to defend them.

The churches in Poland are not empty, nor are they empty in many other Central European states who are Roman Catholic.

In the Orthodox lands, attendance at the weekly Divine Liturgy is quite high. Look at Serbia and Romania for examples of countries where the overwhelming majority are practicing.

In Europe, there is a strong and healthy monasticism. Men and women renounce the world in order to seek God. How strong are the monasteries in the U.S.?

Oh, right. Here we don't do that. Here, instead, we go shopping.

Look - Europe has a demographics problem. So do white, middle class Americans. How many middle or upper class families do you know with more than two children? The First Family has two. The Clintons had one. Even among traditional Catholics, two children has become the max in this country.

Other nations also have demographic problems, including non-Christian ones such as Japan, India, and China. There are spiritual reasons for this malady, at the root, and they are being felt globally.

And, of course, in all this what of Russia and the Ukraine? These are two powerful nations with Christian presidents and a strong ties between church and state. Will they also sit idly by and allowing themselves to be swamped by Islamofascists? Aren't the Russians fighting them even as we speak?

The fact is that whenever a European nationalist steps forward, one of the primary opponents of his or her cause is the United States. Serbia got too out of line in dealing with Islamic terrorists, so we bombed Belgrade. Whenever Le Pen makes a run for the presidency in France, we condemn him.

If any European leader spoke as Leon H. does in this article - what would be the U.S. reaction? We already know - he would be roundly condemned by the State Department as a fascist. In fact, he or she might even be roundly condemned right here at Redstate.org

When frightened Europeans want to jettison the membership of Turkey in the EU, the Bush Administration goes ballistic on them. Remember Bush's comment that Europe can't be just a 'Christian club' and that Turkey has to be let in?

It might be the right thing for Turkey to enter the EU, but it will also mean that millions more Muslims (many of them radicals) will be able to move into a rapidly aging Europe. The Bush Administration is, obviously, at peace with this.

My point in all this is that Europe is not dead. To make that case against hundreds of millions of people, many of whom are deeply devout, is simply propaganda. My second point is that I don't see the United States and its internationalist elites doing anything to improve the situation.

Why don't we get our own house, our own souls, and our own borders in order - and the let the Europeans take care of themselves?

The Mogel hordes are not exactly at the door, and the US is not the only nation capable of fighting tyranny.  

I would worry more about democracy here at home.  Voting machines with no paper trail.   A Congress that has ceded most all of it's authority to the Executive Branch.   A media that is too cozy with its contacts.  Districts that are so rigged that incumbants seldom lose.  Corruption everywhere you turn (not just in Washington).  On and on it goes.

These "the sky is falling" discourses become trendy eveery few decades. The last was in the late 70's. Western civilization survived that one and it will survive this one too.

The last time the "presidential job too big for one person" meme was making the rounds:

  • A president had been forced to leave office because of covering up the evidence of a break in of political opponents (and possibly ordering the break in).
  • The previous and succeeding president were rejected by voters (Ford directly rejected, Johnson opted to go home rather than suffer such a defeat
  • A vice president had been forced to leave office because of bribery allegations.
  • Gas lines.
  • Evening news obsessing on hundereds of citizens kidnapped in a foreign country.
  • But then immediately after this round of public handwringing about the future of the presidency, Reagan came to office and the words "imperial presidency" came into vogue. Reagan served as a strong leader for 8 years and his vice president was elected to carry on.

    As for Europe...

    Here I'm going to go way out by myself here. Islamic immigration is the best thing that could happen to them. Europe set up a social welfare system that can't be maintained. There just aren't enough young people or money to keep it functioning beyond the 50 year horizon. Drastic changes were going to be made anyway, just not very quickly. The sooner it's excised the better for Europe. Anything that the Islamic Generation does to speed that collapse will resound to the advantage of Frenchmen everywhere.

    Now a new, vital generation of people is coming to Europe. They are currently excluded from the mainstream of economic life, but that will change. They will force the economic barriers to fall -- to the advantage of all Europeans. They are now excluded from the social fabric of the nations. As nations begin to fully integrate them into the fabric of European life they will isolate the most rabid Islamists, much as the integration of the Catholics in Northern Ireland isolated the IRA.

    Socialism is built on several premises. One premise that is very near the foundation of the social welfare state is that everything can be controlled. Business, labor, capital -- all can be controlled for the betterment of mankind if sufficiently smart people are in charge of them.

    However the Islamic generation in Europe is showing that it cannot be controlled by worker councils. Nor can it be controlled by a safety net that stresses community rights over individual rights. Such a young and vital generation will change the landscape. The European social model will collapse much sooner, and that's a very good thing for all Europeans.

    Make no mistake, this is why the regimes in Europe fear an Islamic wave. It's not because they're poor, or non Christian, or even because of a supposed predisposition for burning cars or blowing up trains. It's because they can't be controlled by the vaunted social framework. This will force countries all across Europe to adopt principals that integrates these people into society as equals. Open economies and smaller governments will result, to all our advantage.

    Um, no. by tvdog

    although Kennedy misunderstands the US, his main point that Great Powers rise until they are overextended because of their military commitments and expenditures, when the diversion of resources to the military saps the strength of the economy and forces a decline.  This reading is helpful to understand America's special place in history and the factors that may undermine it.

    In 2003, defense spending accounted for 3.7% of GDP. It was over 5% from 1981-90. From 1952-59, it was over 10%. In WWII, defense spending rose as high as 37.8%, more than 10 times current outlays as a percentage of GDP. Excessive military spending is not a problem for the USA.

    Your post does a good job of drawing attention to rising feelings of polarization that have been stirred up by Islamic fundamentalism, particularly after 9/11.  However, I think that this is a broader issue that Nolan also touches on, which is that the world is simply getting too complicated for most of us to understand.

    No, with respect to Islamism, the problem is not its complexity, but its atavistic simplicity. They want to rule, or to kill those who will not yield. They make no distinction between soldiers and non-combatants. It's a throwback to the old way of warfare, before Geneva, before titled gentlemen "civilized" war; see what happens to the tribes of Canaan in the book of Joshua. This type of tribal warfare is not ended by a peace treaty, but by eliminating your enemy's ability to reproduce.

    Accordingly, while I don't disagree that there is a growing divide between the Christian West and Islamic states, human society is very susceptible to divides like this and we need to be very careful about inflaming them.  In a globalized world where we really can escape each other, it is even more imperative that we learn to tolerate each other - different cultures need to be able to preserve their own space (so they do not constantly feel under attack) while also integrating, so that conflicts can be tamed.  It is precisely this later strategy that the US has pursued very successfully relating to China.

    We are not inflaming anything. The dictatorial regimes in the region, abetted by the religious leaders, have deflected blame for their own bad policy and corruption by blaming us. The Bush doctrine sets out to solve the problem by replacing the regimes with better ones. It may not work, but it's worth a try. The alternative is to let things fester and get worse, and possibly end up fighting one of those tribal wars I refer to above.

    Western civilization is the most advanced culture ever created. It has led to greater freedom, prosperity, health, and happiness than any previous culture. Our civilization is superior to other cultures; it is not for us to adapt to them, but for them to adapt to us. That should not be controversial to any objective person. It is not a kindness to Moslem women to say that perhaps it is all right to beat them, it is just a cultural thing, and all cultures are equal.

    Finally, our policy towards China has been very successful - for China. The United States has achieved exactly none of its policy goals with respect to China. There is no democracy in the PRC; on the contrary, in some ways there is more repression than ever before. There is no freedom of religion; members of "illegal" churches are still incarcerated for long sentences. Our trade deficit with China continues to increase. Tibet is still occupied, now majority ethnic Chinese. Taiwan is threatened by ever increasing military power. North Korea, a Chinese client state, has nuclear weapons and threatens Alaska and Japan. I go on, but much more of the Chinese model of "success" would kill us.

    It seems that you missed by Leon H Wolf

    A rather critical of the entire essay, which was the distinction between Western Europe and Eastern Europe. It is, truly, one of the great ironies of our time that the former Eastern Bloc countries have a greater will to stand than do the Western European countries.

    Oh, right. Here we don't do that. Here, instead, we go shopping.

    You also apparently missed the part where I'm worried about us, too.

    If any European leader spoke as Leon H. does in this article - what would be the U.S. reaction? We already know - he would be roundly condemned by the State Department as a fascist. In fact, he or she might even be roundly condemned right here at Redstate.org

    At long last, I have been called a fascist at RedState. I no longer have to be envious of Paul J Cella.

    When frightened Europeans want to jettison the membership of Turkey in the EU, the Bush Administration goes ballistic on them. Remember Bush's comment that Europe can't be just a 'Christian club' and that Turkey has to be let in?

    I missed the part where anyone here thought that was a real smooth move. And again, you missed the part where I advocate, pretty much throughout my entire essay, that I'm concerned about our willingness to stand up for Westernism.

    My point in all this is that Europe is not dead. To make that case against hundreds of millions of people, many of whom are deeply devout, is simply propaganda.

    When spoken about Western Europe, it's actually realism.

    My second point is that I don't see the United States and its internationalist elites doing anything to improve the situation.

    That's actually Noonan's point.

    Aleks311 by Leon H Wolf

    If the issues mentioned herein were issues that existed in isolation, you might have a point. However, the fact that Western Europe is largely unwilling to even recognize their existence portends more than just temporal trouble.

    well said by JohnChi

    .

    Right you are, Leon by EagleWatcher

    A key to their problem

    Having long since decided that religion was neither friend to coddle nor
    foe to reckon with, Western Europe contented itself that this, too, would
    pass, and that even Radical Islam would bow before the combined forces of
    the Enlightenment and Postmodernism.

    Human being have a spiritual appetite as most anthropologists will tell you.
    If you stamp out traditional religion, their spiritual appetite will simply
    seek nourishment elsewhere. If current demographic trends continue the EU
    will be 40% Muslim by 2025. They could easily become a political plurality
    in France and Germany. Secularism will not save them. Even Jean-Paul Sartre
    on his death bead had to admit who could no longer accept a universe without
    a designer.

    the best thing? by Paul J Cella

    In the Netherlands (!) "many politicians, writers and artists" perceived to be critical of Islam have to drive around in bomb-resistant cars. "The Interior Ministry has set up a special unit assessing death threats from Islamic extremists and providing protection squads."

    Islam will destroy socialism alright. But the replacement will not be freedom; it will be despotism and terror.

    installed in a mosque.

    Leon, by Maximos

    don't be discouraged by what is signified by all too many of the comments in this thread, namely, that there are many who simply do not perceive the grave and gathering danger to the survival of Western Civilization in a form we would recognize and find to be "homelike".  There are always millions incapable of perceiving the approach of a dark cloud, which when seen at a distance, seems no greater in span than the breadth of a man's hand; there are millions who suffer vague premonitions of something dark and incomprehensible, yet dismiss that salubrious sense of unease and disquiet because they prize comfort, safety, and psychological tranquillity above all else, and who will thus willfully suppress knowledge in order to maintain an illusion of peace, safety, and optimism.

    The prevalence of such persons in every civilization at every inflection point in history is one of the reasons civilizations do, indeed, collapse, or at least suffer transmogrification into something unrecognizable and unworthy.  Wormtongue is more the norm than the exception, in the sense of a purblind refusal to confront the sort of evidences that are rooted more deeply than the evanescent play of surfaces and shadows, the evidences that demonstrate just what sort of people inhabit the nation, that express much more than shallow, facile references to this or that quantifiable indicator, or, what is still worse, the cynical allusion to a nihilistic, pagan doctrine of history which holds that we ought not concern ourselves overmuch about much of anything, since history itself is nothing but the reprise, if not the eternal return, of the Same.  

    There are those who, though they may profess a lvoe for their nation, in reality fail to understand what it would mean for them to love their nation and their homeland, for they love an idea - an abstraction - of the nation, certain aspects of her history, her laws, her animating spirit reified as Propositions, dogmata of a creed itself taken to express the essence of the nation.  This is neither love, nor patriotism.  It is a want of charity in precisely the sense that the ancients and medievals saw that a man owed charity, as a duty, to his nation and his people; which is to say that its cure is religious, and that its causes reach into the deepest springs of the soul.  The political world is full of such uncharitable men; I rather suspect that we all know the fruits by which they may be identified, but we shrink from the necessary labour of identifying them, and from rooting out the traits they exemplify from our own souls, for reason of the fact that such labours demand greater powers of self-critique than we dare exercise.

    There are also those like the dozens of people with whom I have spoken over the last several weeks, people who love America and her history and heritage, yet have, quite simply, given up, opted out, resigned themselves to the inevitable.  Perhaps they are guilty of despair, and perhaps their numbers are unrepresentative of anything beyond the circle of my acquaitances and contacts.

    All of which is to say that there is a problem, that this phenomenon is not generic, but unique and unique because it is our civilizational crisis, and not a mere participation in some Platonic Abstraction of Civilizational Decline.  And though it is not a counsel of optimism and cynical, pagan indifference to the recurrence of the Same, neither is it a counsel of despair, for we are not fatalists, like certain of our foes, but believers in Providence, Whose workings are beyond the ken of our intelligence, Whose actions cannot be subjected to any calculus, Whose compassion utimately exceeds by an infinite degree the pathetic consolations of our fellows who wrap themselves in the rags of denial, unthinking optimism, and the stupidities of a pagan metaphysics exploded two millenia ago.  

    Put not your trust in princes, but fight for a good prince and leave the rest to God.

    5 <nt> by Leon H Wolf

    I didn't call you that. by jaszkowski

    I agree with your points, so I am not calling you a fascist. Nothing could be further from the truth. I would applaud a European nationalist who would stand up and make many of the same points that you are making in this piece.

    My comment is that a great deal of PC Republicans in and out of the administration who applaud pieces like yours, in the abstract, would immediately pile onto a real European nationalist and begin branding him or her as a fascist. I've seen it before at work in Poland, where my father-in-law used to be the police commander of the entire Western half of the country. He took so much grief financed from from EU and American Embassies that he eventually resigned. (This was during the Clinton years, and his pro-Polish nationalist stance ran contrary to Clintonian internationalism.)

    I think many of your ideas are sound, I just don't think you were introspective enough. After all, we can't do much to change French policy, but we should be able to do something about the policies of our own government, and the spiritual malaise of our own people.

    At the same time, the Poles are not the French. Perhaps we are hypersensitive to this, but we are the nation that gave the world Pope John Paul II, not the French Revolution. I often feel like the anger towards the French and the dissolute low countries is directed at all those who happen to be on the European continent and that simply is not fair.

    In your article, you stated that a defense of Western society (if I remember correctly) must come from the U.S. and the UK alone. That was what I was objecting to. Many peoples on the continent would be willing to join a defense of Western society, but they lack leadership to organize that defense. There is a vacuum that will only be filled if legitimate European nationalisms are allowed to emerge again. The entire structure of the EU and NATO are designed to stop that very thing from happening. It is disingenous, in opinion, to only focuse on the lack of European willingness to fight for Western civilization while our own government's policies help foster that helplessness.

    Again, don't misunderstand me. I don't disagree with you or Noonan in that we need to defend and conserve. I simply disagree with treating 'Europe' as a whole, when (in reality) the primary criticisms leveled actually primarily apply to a small part of the continent. I also would love it if we would spend more of our time debating and discussing the major problems with American attitudes and policies that prevent us from making a positive difference in this struggle.

    Leon,

    Don't dismiss Ireland so quickly. It would be delicious irony if once again it were to fall to that tiniest of nations, Ireland, to save Western Europe (check out How the Irish Saved Civilization by Thomas Cahill). Certainly they are leading the way economically.

    Also, don't fall into the analytical trap of assuming that state action will save us. From your past writings, I'm sure you know that. Military might will buy the West some time, but in the end that will not save the U.S. or Western Europe unless we in that time also have a revivial in which individuals reclaim confidence in the light that we bring to the world and reform communities at the grassroots and rebuild upwards -- and the willingness to defend the light.

    You've seen this happen in Eastern Europe, and some of this is also happening in Africa and Asia at the grassroots. In Western Europe, the governmental structures are decaying, but there is vitality -- and a battle -- in the hearts of people and commmunities. Recognize the peril, but if you look deeper there is also hope. We have a similar struggle here in the U.S. too.

    In your campaign to defend life of the most helpless, you are doing your part too to heal the spirit of our nation in one vital area. Others are working to bring healing elsewhere. Don't despair about the acorns just because the big trees look so menacing. And above all, don't fall into the "Elijah syndrome" (I Kings 19:1-18).

    exaggeration by Ender

    The doom and gloom predictions from various conservatives are troubling. The Western Civilization is far from collapsing and is the most vibrant and productive force on Earth.

    Though I am not as optimistic about European countries as I am about United States.

    It is not the Christian culture and our "tenacious grasp of the Christian religion" that is the reason for our greatness. Nor is the lack thereof the reason for the failure of Old Europe. It is US being the beacon of Freedom, it is the enormous respect for the invidivual rights, it is our rationalism and strong awareness of our own greatness that is carrying us and will carry us through the current troubles.

    Our traditions are there to keep our society stable. I am all for preserving them. I have no problem with the Christian character of our country. I am proud of George Bush not being ashamed of that. But is not the defining characteristic that keeps us Free and Great.

    And it is not what will protect the world from Islamofascists. I am sorry but falling church attendance rates, whether in Europe or in US, mean absolutely nothing to the survival of the Western Civilization. It is our recognition of the threat Islamofascism poses to our basic freedoms and values of rationality, individualism, justice, and capitalism.

    Islam cannot coexist with the values given to us by our Founding Fathers. And Islam does not want to try to coexist with those values. We should reject it like the alien virus that it is. It might take a lot more suffering in our land, but eventually people will wake up. I have no doubt about it. And all the forces of misdirecting, misleading, treacherous leftists will not stop us from defending ourselves.

    And once we wake up, it will not be our Christian faith carrying us through to victory. It will be our brave men and women blasting evil wherever it exists with fire created by the rational human mind. Stone Age mentality of Islam will not survive it.

    Seeing Fallacies by Leon H Wolf

    I think that you are locating fallacies in my post which would be valid if they existed, but I don't think that they do. I don't know that I advocated exclusive state action, and salvation through military force, as much as I did a return to Western values and a belief in American exceptionalism.

    And, I agree that Eastern Europe and Africa present the greatest hope for future alliances, but I am concerned that a number of geopolitical factors will prevent them - from a standpoint of strength - from being the necessary buffer that Western Europe has provided for so long.

    I could very well be wrong.

    I have no problem with the Christian character of our country. I am proud of George Bush not being ashamed of that. But is not the defining characteristic that keeps us Free and Great.

    And it is not what will protect the world from Islamofascists.

    This is, quite simply, willful forgetting of  the fate of all civilizations who abandon their historical religious cohesiveness - whether that be Christianity or any other religion.

    Wrong you are, Bucko by EagleWatcher

    The last time the "presidential job too big for one person" meme
    was making the rounds:

    The last time this made the rounds was during the disastrous Carter administration.
    Carter was so feckless, people suggested that the presidency was too much
    for one person. Someone actually suggested a co-presidency to Reagan and he
    nearly bit their hand off. Gas lines were among the more charming parts of
    the Carter administration as well. He ineptly tried to control the free markets
    by government regulation of gas prices.

    What people fail to see is that Western Europe is the canary in the coal
    mine. What goes wrong in Europe could go wrong here some day if we don't wake
    up.

    The limits of the Dutch social system is being reached. It was kinda cool when everybody had European last names, when artists could live on the national dole forever. But now it's coming to a close.

    But the price is high. An underclass that doesn't contribute to the national largess formed, and is naturally not interested in maintaining the overclass in the manner to which they're accustomed. A few will inevitably choose violence. The same types of things happen whenever demographic changes emerge, whether in Northern Ireland, South Africa, or Europe. Irish Catholics were once synonymous with bombers. Now they're tech weenies. Violence is bad, but unavoidable.

    That's why the Europeans have to get to the task of integration. Integration only works with an expanding economy, one that is free from the constraints of the European social model. As conditions deteriorate the Dutch will come to that realization, although that's still years away. Many people will pay a high price for the delay, some in violence and some when their safety net can no longer support their need to be an artist. However the price will be lower the sooner the changes happen.

    Noonan's Essay by opine6

    Oh, if only Ted Kennedy had become an opera singer instead of a politician.  Now he is a bitter old man with some view of a utopian socialist society for those of us less rich than he.  Yet, he cheats on his homestead exemption to keep his Washington D.C. residence from full taxation.

    Half right by TokyoTom

    It`s true that a number of Islamic state blame the US, just as they blame their ills on Israel as well.  However, it`s clear that we have also played a role in inflaming the situation - from the installation of the Shah of Iran to the shelling of Lebanese villages, the support of the mujahedeen in Afghanistan against the USSR to the continued maintenance of troops in Saudi Arabia after Gulf War I.  We also failed to push most regimes to change but focussed primarily on stability of oil supply.  

    China is a complicated story and of course we must keep pushing.  Still at least in the cities they are lightyears ahead in terms of improved civil rights and standard of living, and we have much more influence over China now than even ten years ago.  This is balanced by the concerns you mentioned, plus serious environmental/water/land use issues, uneven development and a rapidly aging population (only 10% are 60+ now, but by 2040 28% will be 60+ - an additional 200 million).  Trade is the goose that lays the golden egg and the US is by far stronger, so while they may talk about Taiwan an invasion is quite unlikely.  Taiwan will also eventually econimcally integrate anyway, so there is no need for a militry takeover.

    issue.  Our advantage in the US is that integration has always been easier because newcomers had opportunities.

    However, we still have to face the integraton on a larger scale, including the integration of secular Turkey, the failed middle east states and China.

    Our country was not founded on the principles of Christianity. US was founded on the revolutionary premise the all human beings are endowed with certain inalienable rights. US developed into a capitalist society which further cemented our individual freedoms. I am not recommending we abandon our Christian heritage which also gives our country a wonderful character of respect for other human beings, and a desire to help the opressed everywhere else. But that is not why our country is such a beacon that draws people from all over the world to our gates. US is the land of opportunity and freedom and achievement and we will stay that way regardless of church attendance. Personally I believe that morality can and does exist outside religion. Some humans need religion to outline it for them and some don't. Lack of religion will not lead to our downfall, but the lack of freedom will most surely do so.

    Okay.... by Buckland

    You say I'm wrong, but seem to agree with virtually all I said. We agree that Carter was a huge contributor the the "presidential job too big for one person era".  I would say that Nixon's wage and price freezes was a big contributor to Carter's problems, as they made it seem acceptable to meddle with the economic infrastructure. But no dispute that Carter was a horrible president.

    We're also in agreement that the US has the same type of issues as Western Europe, just not to the same degree (yet). We do a reasonable (but not great) job of assimilating immigrants. Even at that the number of Latinos (primarily Central and South Americans) in the prison system is increasing quickly.

    they can't possibly love it equally.  That seems pretty narrow minded.  I'm not Christian, and I think "Cowboy foreign policy" is only as good as the regular old fashioned diplomacy that backs it up.  We have far too much of the former and none of the latter.  

    And some of us might say that we love this country too much to let it be usurped by people who believe that torture is acceptable, or that government shouldn't be held accountable, or that young men and women should die for an ambiguosly defined and ineptly run war of opportunity.

    also by Ender

    There has never existed a civilization like ours. So the previous examples of other civilizations do not necessarily apply. No other civilization was founded on the respect for individual human rights.

    Not so dissolute by Aleks311

    Re: I often feel like the anger towards the French and the dissolute low countries is directed at all those who happen to be on the European continent and that simply is not fair.

    "dissolute low countries" really only applies properly to Belgium in this matter. The Netherlands has been a supportive ally of the US, and I'm no tsure what we can expect from a nation the size of Luxemburg, but I have not heard that the Luxembourgeois are indicting our genrals or taking to their streets (I assume they have more than one steeet) to shout against us. Indeed, when all is said and done there are really only three Euroepan nations which are deserving of harsh criticism in this matter: France, Germany and Belgium. Sweden, Switzerland, Finland, Austria and the former Yugslavian nations have always been neutral (since WWII at least) and we should not expect anything different from them while the rest of Europe has assisted our efforts, and even France and Germany were with us in Afghanistan.

    agreed by JohnChi

    On a related point, the generalizations that many people on the right make about "Europe" don't apply to central/eastern Europe at all.

    I don't have time by Leon H Wolf

    To deal with the worms that would surely spill out of the can if I answered this question in full, so I will merely say that there is a difference between saying, "This country was founded on Christianity," and "Historically, societies who abandon religion lose their cohesive force and disentigrate."

    ugh by Ender

    The term "narrow minded" is a liberal ploy to paint everyone who disagrees with a convenient label of ignorance and intolerance. You don't have to consider everyone's retarded opinion to be right about something.

    I am not a Christian either but your leftist talking points belong on dkos.

    For the record: I don't have a problem with torture of evil terrorists, I think we were right to invade Iraq, and our men and women are not dying for oil or "war of opportunity".

    Your error by Leon H Wolf

    Lies in the assumption that the broader point at issue is fully covered in the immediate context of the Iraq war - it isn't. As I tried to make painstakingly clear, liberals are always willing to stand behind a war that we're not currently fighting (we should be in Iran! North Korea!) instead of the one we actually are.

    All of that, however, is a symptom of the first point you raised, which is that the love liberals have for this country is "different." I suppose that "less" is in fact "different," but that's still not the point I'm making. Liberals' love of the country extends only so far as this country achieves their policy objectives. Most liberals, I am convinced, would be just as content (if not moreso) If America were Canada or Sweden instead. The difference is, that while Ireland's social policy is probably much closer to my liking, I wouldn't trade the existence of America for the existence of Ireland. It is a failure to realize that an America is necessary for the contingent existence of countries like Canada, and Sweden, and indeed Ireland.

    particular statement was, and I gave reasons for why I thought so.  That's far more than you have done in your knee jerk post.

    And your welcome to your beliefs, my point was that I believe differently and I'll be damned if I love America like he love Arkansas (as he puts it)

    See my note above. We are not at odds with "Western Europe" in the matter of the Iraq War. We are at odds with a troika of three nations: Germany, France and Belgium. The rest of Europe is either neutral (a traditional stance for most of those particular nations) or else is supportive. Belgium is nothing but a row boat dragged along in the wake of its two larger neighbors, who have been calling its shots since the Habsburgs were fresh to power; while France and Germany judged (foolishly, IMO) that their national interest lay in opposing our initiatives in the Middle East. This is just the old game of nations played on a new chess board. I see no reason for fretting that either Europe or the USA, or anyone else is doomed. Plus ça change plus la même chose.

    well by Ender

    I guess my point is that Christianity is not what held our society together to begin with.

    You are engaging by Leon H Wolf

    In the same conflation as dlev downthread - namely, assuming that I am discussing the current fracas in Iraq - or at the very least, confining my discussion to that conflict. I'm not. I am more concerned, for the purposes of this post, with the unwillingness of Western European nations to confront the Islamofascist threat that has sprung up upon their very own shores - independent of whether they choose to help us in Iraq.

    Ender: Just a note by Joe Rega

    Our constitution was made only for a moral and religous people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other. John Adams (In Howe, Jr. John R. The Changing Political Thought of John Adams Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1966. p.185). Locke, who influenced Adams and many others, also wrote about the importance of religion.

     The notion that all human beings are created equal, i.e. in the sight of G-d, is a revolutionary notion common to all three monotheistic religions.

    Leon, I wasn't so much trying to poke holes at your argument as to remind you to step back and look at the whole fabric. As you well know, most of the recent progress in the pro-life movement has not been at the level of great political changes but rather changes in the heart of millions of individuals, which in its season will increasingly impact the body politic.

    Similarly what in the end will tip the fate of Western civilization will be decisions of millions of individuals. Much of what we see in the media is a source of discouragement, but I just wanted to remind you that there is much good going on among individuals and small communities that doesn't attract as much media attention.

    Nonetheless, there will certainly be dark times if our leadership buckles and loses the vision, for "without vision, the people perish". Still, remember He who has overcome...

    that we should be "in Iran or North Korea", but rather that Iran and North Korea have been and are presently greater threats to both the region and to the U.S. than Iraq was or is, and we should be focusing our attention on them.

    If I understand your point, you are saying that liberals only view America as a place to implement social policy , and conservatives view it as a vehicle to enact worldwide change?

    If so, then I disagree.  I think that many liberals see America as having a global responsibility, but that we are drifting further from achieving our goals by the methods of the Bush administration, and losing what makes America unique in the process.

    Could you... by flyerhawk

    provide some examples of societies that abandon their religion and lose their cohesive force and disintegrate?

    Off the top of my head by Leon H Wolf

    Egypt and Rome come to mind.

    And you'll note by Leon H Wolf

    That Christianity was not the religion in question for either of those examples.

    I agree that morality is a prerequisite. I think at the time of our country's founding, the notion of morality outside religion was almost non-existent. I also think it took a certain kind of people (our founders) to divine this notion of human beings created equal out of the monotheistic religions. Certainly these religions do not view non-believers kindly.

    That's what I figured by flyerhawk

    It is extremely difficult to pinpoint any specific cause as to why Rome collpased.  But I would love to hear your explanation of how their abandonment of paganism led to their downfall and not their overextension of resources coupled with the complacency of their citizens.

    Egypt is difficult to identify at all since their collapse occurred at a time when their is very little historical record.

    I would like to point out that 2000+ years ago, religion was a far more central part of daily life than today.

    Since the liberal posture on every single military action since World War II has been either:

    1. Opposition, or

    2. Unwillingness to commit sufficient resources, or

    3. Unwillingness to see the conflict through to the end.
    I would also offer by flyerhawk

    that England became MORE powerful as they became more secular.

    Okay, I give up by streiff

    what does this mean:

    First, I don't think that many democrats believe that we should be "in Iran or North Korea", but rather that Iran and North Korea have been and are presently greater threats to both the region and to the U.S. than Iraq was or is, and we should be focusing our attention on them.

    This seems to be saying that you would be in favor of having done nothing in Iraq as well as nothing in Iran or nothing in Korea. And I really defy anyone what more could have been done with Iran or Korea... I mean other than just capitulating and giving them what they demand.

    Well one thing by flyerhawk

    we could have done in Iran is provide more support to the reformists.  Not so much overt endorsement of the reformist but subtle carrot and stick support.  

    Nothing can really be done about North Korea.  

    Ask Gibbon by Leon H Wolf

    He's got a lot to say on the subject, but the abbreviated version has to do with the centrifying force of the emperor cult, and its role in identifying the far-flung citizens of Rome with a capital they'd never seen and a government they never interacted with.

    I would like to point out that 2000+ years ago, religion was a far more central part of daily life than today.

    I think this is an overblown generalization. If you don't think there were twice-a-year cultists in ancient Rome, I think you're deluding yourself.

    The more important point, however, is the question of what makes a person identify with their country as something worth fighting for and defending -

    Socialized medicine?

    Legal abortion?

    The marginal income tax rate?

    But the complete abandonment of public religion coincides with the destruction of the Empire, albeit likely coincidentally.

    Sure, the Europeans are in a pretty bad way right now. But I think the argument that claims they will be taken over by Muslims is missing some very critical internal links.

    With immigration policies tightening, the number of Muslims in Europe is not going to increase dramatically, though their birth rates are higher than native Europeans.

    So numerically there will never be enough Muslims to seize any kind of power. All they can do is create unrest and destruction. But, in some bad news for them, I honestly don't think the Europeans are going to take it forever.

    One consequence of the decline of Christianity in Western Europe is that, contrary to what some philosophers argue, humans rights language is an outgrowth of Christian teachings. With the foundation eroding, European opinion will be subject to rapid and radical change depending on the circumstances.

    Normally, that's a bad thing, which explains why the US system was specifically designed to avoid such situations. But in this case, it means that once radical or criminal Muslims in Europe cross a line, they are done.

    If you don't think the French would commit genocide to save their country, you're wrong. Obviously, such a civil war would be a disaster, but at the end of the day human instinct is still operative, even in Western Europe.

    The question is how many people have to die before the problem is solved, whatever that solution may be. Can the US prevent that civil conflict in Europe? I doubt it. The Europeans possibly can, but time is short, historically speaking.

    OK by flyerhawk

    I can agree with that.  As societal forces, in general, collapse you are likely to see a collapse in central religous authority.

    Way too soon by Aleks311

    Re: If current demographic trends continue the EU will be 40% Muslim by 2025.

    I don't know where you're getting that figure but from what I've seen it would take 300 years before Muslism would be the majority population in Europe, even assuming population trends are frozen in place (about as likely as the weather staying the same perpetually)

    Well it's been a while by flyerhawk

    since I read Gibbon but didn't he largely lay blame on the Christians as an external force that changed, and ultimately destroyed, the empire?  The problem is that the empire(western) lasted for 400 after Christ, longer if you don't consider the sacking of Rome to be the end.  It lasted 300 years before Christianity was officially recognized as the official religion.  

    I read Gibbon in High School so I may have a poor reading of it.  And if I infer correctly I am not remembering it correctly.  But you seem to be suggesting that the emperor cult was a religion.  That is a pretty tenuous claim.  The emperor was not given and significant religous authority for most of the Roman era.  So why is this an example of what you claim?

    This point seems odd....

    The more important point, however, is the question of what makes a person identify with their country as something worth fighting for and defending -

    How bout the Bill of Rights?  I'd wager that if you asked 10 random Americans why they would fight for this country you would get a fair number that would say "Because it's the land of the free" and none that would say "abortion, gay rights, taxes" or any other contentious issue of the day.

    A few disagreements by streiff

    With immigration policies tightening, the number of Muslims in Europe is not going to increase dramatically, though their birth rates are higher than native Europeans.

    Sort of mutually exclusive propositions depending on what you mean by "dramatically." If you consider the low birthrate, below replacement levels, with the higher average age of the native European population you will see a substantial shift in European demographics in the next 20 years.

    If you don't think the French would commit genocide to save their country, you're wrong

    I don't think French history over the past 130 years bears that out.

    5 <nt> by Paul J Cella

    Gloomy Monday I guess by Aleks311

    Re: don't be discouraged by what is signified by all too many of the comments in this thread, namely, that there are many who simply do not perceive the grave and gathering danger to the survival of Western Civilization in a form we would recognize and find to be "homelike".  

    "Everything changes with time and we step not twice in the same river." So said the old philosopher Herakleitos. I think we do need to remember that no matter what happens the future will not be like the past and if we could hop into a time machine and disembark in the year 2105 we would not be "at home" no matter what, any more than our great grandparents could arrive in our time and find themselves at home (monarchies and vast empires have collapsed since their day, hideous and genocidal wars have been fought. Utopian ideologies have risen and fallen. Wondrous technologies are everywhere, Women can vote and racial minorities are no longer legally disadvantaged, commerce is far more controlled by large corpoartions, sexual morality is quite a bit looser than they knew but woe to anyone who beats a spouse, animal or child or flirts in the wrong time and place).

    And again, I find the hand-wringing a bit overdone. Islamic civilization is dying. That's the meaning of Al Qaida and the rest of the nihilistic terrorists. Healthy civilzations may produce vicious criminals of course, evil is always with us, but rarely do they produce monsters of that magnitude (or rather, they control and perhaps even extinguish those types of monsters.) Looking through the gray-colored lens of pessimism it may seem that our civilization is the the worst of all around--but take those glasses off and you can add: "except for all the others."

    Re: Wormtongue is more the norm than the exception

    Um, Wormtongue isn't even the exception. He's a fictional character!

    shameless brownnose by AKSteveB

    That was one incredible essay.  I have little to add other than to say that my concern that we are less different than Europe as a society than we think has been my main concern about the war since Day 1.  You just went to second place in my "Damn I wish I could write like that" list (after Mark Steyn).

    decadent, but what will rise in it's place?

    There is a romantic and fascist school of thought that argues that decadent cultures must be destroyed to make way for a bold new future. Certainly Islamofascists fit the bill with the exception that they want to destroy the modern world and retreat to a theocratic dark age.

    But that's not the American way--some cultural traits are stubbornly persistent. Americans make things. We fix things. We change things. We waste things and sometimes wreck things in our pursuit of happiness. Left to our own devices, we do pretty well, but we are almost never left alone.

    The remedy, I think, for the radical leveling power of democracy is strong leadership. We need to be reminded about what has made America great, and then we can either choose to sustain those things or toss them aside.

    Unfortunately, we seem to want to toss much that had (and could have again) great value, but we need better leaders. Ronald Reagan comes to mind.

    One example. Hip hop culture is crap, but we are bombarded with it virtually 24/7. Why? Because it sells. But does it sell because it's good or because we like it? Or does it sell because there are no attractive alternatives?

    A theory. If a major media company got behind Shakespeare with the same energy, creativity and money that is invested in Hip Hop every kid on the planet would know the story of Hamlet--and like it.

    We're selling and consuming crap.

    to debate much of anything with you today.  I am seldom in the mood at all.

    I don't care much for jejune citations of Herakleitos; if you're at peace with the notion of a "Western" civilization either under an Islamic bootheel or so radically altered by adaptation to, assimilation of, or modification by, Islamic culture, enjoy your illusions, and pass along some of whatever you happen to be smoking.  I'd dearly like not to see the things I plainly see.  For my part, I am not at peace with that specific mode of historical change, and never will I be at peace with it, for it is inimical to everything I believe and hold dear, and everything I intend to impart to my children.

    As to your other points, such as they are, I will say only that your remark concerning my metaphorical use of "wormtongue" is either daft or cheap, and that, if what certain Muslims are now doing in the course of their jihad against the West represents the death of Islamic civilization, then Islamic civilization has been dying since the moment it emerged from the desert wastes of the Arabian peninsula.  You may delight in that sort of historical forgetfulness, but I do not, and I'd rather struggle against that culture of death along with another one more particular to Western secularists.  None of this has anything to do with finding my culture uniquely contemptible and base, nor with despair; it wasn't despair for St. Augustine to note that the Empire was collapsing.

    History please? by Aleks311

    Re: This is, quite simply, willful forgetting of  the fate of all civilizations who abandon their historical religious cohesiveness - whether that be Christianity or any other religion.

    And just what historical example can you cite for the above? Civilizations which changed or altered their original religions abound and I cannot think of not one case where they collapsed as a result. (I reject Gibbon's thesis that Rome fell because it became Christian). Northern Europe did not collapse as a result of the Protestant Reformation, nor did Japan or China fall into ruin when they added Buddhism to their traditional religious strcture.

    Leon did proffer by flyerhawk

    Rome, based on Gibbon, and Egypt.   I'm not sure what his reasoning on Egypt is.